Copyright ©ERS Journals Ltd 2005 C-reactive protein as a marker of ventilator-associated pneumonia resolution: a pilot studyIntensive Care Unit, Garcia de Orta Hospital, Almada, Portugal CORRESPONDENCE: P. Póvoa, Unidade de Cuidados Intensivos, Hospital Garcia de Orta, Av. Prof. Torrado da Silva, 2800-525 Almada, Portugal. Fax: 351 212957004. E-mail: povoap@netcabo.pt Keywords: C-reactive protein, intensive care unit, outcome, temperature, ventilator-associated pneumonia, white cell count
Received: June 15, 2004
The aim of this study was to evaluate C-reactive protein (CRP) levels, body temperature and white cell count (WCC) after prescription of antibiotics in order to describe the clinical resolution of ventilator-associated pneumonia (VAP). A cohort of 47 VAP patients with microbiological confirmation of disease was assessed. CRP levels, body temperature and WCC were monitored daily. On day 4 of the antibiotic therapy, the CRP level of survivors was 0.62 times the initial value, whereas, in nonsurvivors, it was 0.98. Body temperature and WCC remained almost unchanged. By day 4, a CRP of >0.6 times the initial level was a marker of poor outcome (sensitivity 0.92; specificity 0.59). Patients were divided according to their CRP patterns of response to antibiotics: fast response, slow response, nonresponse, and biphasic response. All patients with fast and slow response patterns survived, whereas those showing nonresponse and a biphasic response pattern exhibited a mortality of 78 and 75%, respectively. The adequacy of the initial antibiotic therapy had a marked influence on the rate of CRP decrease, as well as on mortality. In conclusion, daily C-reactive protein measurements after antibiotic prescription were useful in the identification, as early as day 4, of ventilator-associated pneumonia patients with poor outcome. The identification of the pattern of C-reactive protein response to antibiotics was useful in the recognition of individual clinical course, improving or worsening, as well as of the rate of improvement. Ventilator-associated pneumonia (VAP) is the most frequent intensive care unit (ICU)-acquired infection among patients undergoing mechanical ventilation 1. As a result, VAP prolongs the length of ICU stay and, in addition, is associated with a 2030% increase in the risk of death 24. Therefore, mechanically ventilated patients are aggressively monitored in order to diagnose VAP prematurely. Currently, the diagnosis of VAP is based on a combination of clinical, radiological and bacteriological criteria 5. These criteria are very sensitive but poorly specific and, therefore, antibiotics are often inappropriately prescribed 4. The evaluation of VAP response to antibiotic therapy relies on the resolution of the same criteria used in the diagnosis 46. Bacterial eradication has been proposed as a criterion of improvement 7; however, these results were recently challenged 5. Chest radiography is also of limited value as initial deterioration is common 6, 8. Clinical parameters, such as body temperature, blood pressure, white cell count (WCC), respiratory frequency, arterial oxygen tension (Pa,O2)/inspiratory oxygen fraction (FI,O2) ratio and tracheobronchial secretions, have also been used to assess response to therapy 46, 8, 9. Recently, a combination of these parameters, the clinical pulmonary infection score (CPIS), was tested in the evaluation of VAP response to therapy 8. C-reactive protein (CRP) belongs to a family of proteins named pentraxins. These proteins are stably conserved throughout vertebrate evolution, suggesting a central role in immunological response 10. Several studies have shown that CRP is useful in the diagnosis of sepsis in different clinical situations 11, although data are sparse regarding its behaviour in septic patients after the institution of antibiotics 1214. Four different patterns of CRP progression in response to antibiotics, as well as relationships with prognosis, have already been described 12, 13. The aim of the present study was to assess the value of serial CRP determinations in comparison to commonly used infectious markers, such as body temperature and WCC, after prescription of antibiotics in the evaluation of resolution of VAP, in order to recognise, early in the clinical course, patients with good and bad outcome, as well as to identify the individual pattern of CRP response to antibiotics. Since the adequacy of antibiotic therapy is a risk factor for hospital mortality 15, 16, the effect of the appropriateness of antibiotic therapy on CRP changes over time, as well as on outcome, was also assessed.
Study subjects A prospective observational cohort study was conducted between November 2001 and December 2002. The ICU of Garcia de Orta Hospital (Almada, Portugal) is an eight-bed ward, harbouring a mixed population of medical, surgical and trauma patients. All patients who were aged 18 yrs and received mechanical ventilation for >72 h were enrolled. The Ethics Committee of Garcia de Orta Hospital approved the study design.
Study design Blood samples were obtained via an arterial line on admission and, subsequently, every morning at 07:00 h. Measurement of CRP was performed by means of an immunoturbidimetric method using a commercially available kit (Tina-quant CRP; Roche Diagnostics, Mannheim, Germany). The precision of the assay measured by means of the intra- and interassay coefficient of variation was <7%, the sensitivity 0.1 mg·dL1 and the detection limit 0.3 mg·dL1. For the purposes of time-dependent analysis, day 0 (D0) was defined as the day of VAP clinical diagnosis, as well as when the empirical antibiotic therapy for VAP was started. The following days were successively defined as D1, D2, etc. Withdrawal of the inflammatory stimulus results in a sharp decrease in serum CRP concentration, similar to first-order elimination kinetics 10. As a result, time-dependent analysis of the relative CRP concentration (CRP ratio) was also performed. The CRP ratio was calculated in relation to D0 CRP concentration. Patients were followed-up until pneumonia was cured and they were sufficiently clinically stable to be discharged from the ICU or until death. The progression of CRP concentration, CRP ratio, body temperature and WCC throughout the course of VAP was analysed, comparing survivors and nonsurvivors.
Definitions Adequate antibiotic therapy was defined as when, in the empirical therapy prescribed by the onset of VAP, at least one antibiotic covers all of the pathogens isolated, as determined by the sensitivity pattern in the antibiogram. In patients started with initially inadequate treatment, antibiotics were changed according to the pathogen isolated and antimicrobial susceptibility testing.
CRP patterns of response to antibiotic therapy after prescription of antimicrobials were modifications of those previously published: a fast response occurred when the CRP ratio at D4 was <0.4 relative to D0 CRP; a slow response was characterised by a continuous and slow decrease in CRP ratio; nonresponse was when the CRP ratio remained at
Analysis Continuous variables are presented as mean±SD, unless otherwise stated. Comparisons between groups were performed using the parametric unpaired and paired t-test, or the nonparametric MannWhitney U-test and Wilcoxon signed-rank test for continuous variables according to data distribution. The ShapiroWilk test was used for normality assessment. The Chi-squared test was used to carry out comparisons between categorical variables. Time-dependent analysis of different variables was performed via General Linear Model univariate repeated-measures analysis using a split-plot design approach. Differences at different time points were determined by calculation of contrast coefficients. Receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curves were plotted for CRP ratio, body temperature and WCC on D4 of antimicrobial therapy. The indicative accuracy of these variables at D4 was assessed by calculation of the area under the curve (AUC), as described elsewhere 20. In medical practice, a diagnostic test with an AUC of <0.75 is regarded as noncontributive 21. Comparison of the AUC of two variables was performed using the method of Hanley and McNeil 22. Regarding nonsurvivors, D4 data refer only to patients still alive on that day. In order to identify the variations in infectious markers, specifically CRP ratio, body temperature and WCC at D4 (independent variables), best predicting VAP outcome (dependent variable) during antibiotic therapy, a multivariable logistic regression model was constructed. In order to control for potential confounding factors, age, sex, Acute Physiology, Age, and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II score, and D0 SOFA score were included in the initial model. Backward stepwise variable elimination was then performed, with a p-value of <0.05 as a requirement for acceptance, in order to develop the final model. Model calibration and discrimination were assessed using the HosmerLemeshow goodness-of-fit test and the c-statistic, respectively. Results are reported as adjusted odds ratio (AOR) with 95% confidence interval (CI). Survival analysis, according to the patterns of CRP ratio response to antibiotic therapy and adequacy of antibiotic therapy, was performed using the KaplanMeier method. In order to compare survival distributions, the log-rank test was used. Significance was accepted at a p-value of <0.05.
During the study period, 47 out of 237 mechanically ventilated patients developed VAP with microbiological confirmation. Of the 47 patients, 13 (27.7%) died in the ICU, and all deaths occurred while the patients were still on antibiotics and mechanically ventilated. The demographic characteristics of the VAP patients are shown in table 1
Before the development of VAP, 29 out of 47 (61.7%) patients had previously received antibiotics, 18 survivors and 11 nonsurvivors (p = 0.046), for periods of 14.1±9.8 and 13±6.5 days, respectively (p = 0.928). VAP patients who had previously received antibiotics exhibited a mortality rate of 38%, whereas, amongst those without previous antibiotics, it was 11% (p = 0.046).
At D0, the CRP, body temperature and WCC of survivors and nonsurvivors were not significantly different (20.6±8.3 versus 23.1±7.9 mg·dL1 (p = 0.342), 38.3±0.9 versus 38.4±1.1°C (p = 0.807) and 13.7±6.1x103 versus 13.4±6.1x103 cells·µL1 (p = 0.967), respectively). Time-dependent analysis of CRP level and CRP ratio (fig. 2
When the CRP ratio of survivors and nonsurvivors was compared at different time points, significant differences were found at D4 (p = 0.015), D5 (p = 0.002), D6 (p = 0.002) and D7 (p = 0.002; fig. 2
At the end of antibiotic therapy, the CRP concentration of survivors was 3.5±2.6 mg·dL1, whereas, in nonsurvivors, on the day of death, it was 26.2±8.2 mg·dL1 (p<0.001; fig. 3
CRP patterns of response to antibiotic therapy VAP patients were retrospectively divided according to four patterns of CRP ratio progression during antibiotic therapy (fig. 1 All patients with a CRP ratio pattern of fast and slow response survived, whereas those with a pattern of nonresponse and biphasic response exhibited overall mortality rates of 78 and 75%, respectively (p<0.001). Finally, there was no association between the reason for mechanical ventilation or the presence of previous infection and the pattern of CRP ratio response to therapy (p = 0.154 and p = 0.431, respectively). At D0, acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) criteria 23 were met by 15 (44%) survivors and 10 (77%) nonsurvivors (p = 0.044). The frequency of ARDS according to the four patterns of CRP ratio response to antibiotics, fast response, slow response, nonresponse and biphasic response, was 60, 45, 67 and 50%, respectively (p = 0.702).
Adequacy of antibiotic therapy The influence of the adequacy of antibiotic therapy on CRP ratio pattern of response was also analysed. All 10 patients with a pattern of fast response received adequate therapy, as well as 85% of the patients with a slow response. Conversely, 44% of the patients showing a nonresponse pattern and 25% with a pattern of biphasic response received inadequate antibiotic therapy (p = 0.09).
Correlation between outcome and CRP ratio patterns of response with clinical course
The SOFA score 3 days before VAP diagnosis was 5.7±2.5 in survivors and 6.6±2.5 in nonsurvivors (p = 0.369), and, in addition, SOFA score changes between D3 and D0 were not significant in survivors and nonsurvivors (p = 0.824 and p = 0.111, respectively).
The time-dependent analysis of Pa,O2/FI,O2 for the four different CRP ratio patterns of response from D0 to D7 showed no significant differences between the different patterns (p = 0.94). However, the time-dependent analysis of SOFA score for the four patterns (fig. 5
For each of the six organ systems included in the SOFA score, organ failure is defined as a score of 3 17. Patients with VAP had at least one organ failure at D0 since all were mechanically ventilated, i.e. had a respiratory system score of 3. Patients with the fast response pattern exhibited less severe VAP, as only three (30%) showed additional organ failure. In contrast, in patients with the slow response pattern, 14 (70%) presented another organ failure (p = 0.037). However, between D0 and D7, the SOFA score of patients with fast and slow response declined at a similar rate (p = 0.945). At D7, organ failures were present in only three (30%) patients with the fast response pattern, whereas 13 (65%) with the slow response pattern had at least one (p = 0.048). The duration of mechanical ventilation after antibiotic prescription was also analysed. Patients with a fast response were ventilated for 4.6±1.3 days, whereas those with a slow response remained ventilated for 7.8±5.5 days (p = 0.053).
In the present study, the clinical resolution of VAP, assessed by serial measurements of CRP, body temperature and WCC, after institution of antibiotic therapy, was evaluated in order to identify, early in the clinical course, patients with good and bad outcome. Currently, the evaluation of VAP resolution relies on essentially the same criteria as used in the diagnosis 24. However, some of these criteria, such as body temperature, WCC and Pa,O2/FI,O2, are influenced by a number of noninfectious factors 25. Based on the present findings, daily CRP measurements could be used as a marker of VAP resolution, and might be of some help in the clinical decision-making process for the reassessment of patients that fail to improve. Pugin et al. 26 proposed the CPIS, which relied on a combination of clinical signs plus tracheal aspirate Gram stain and culture, for VAP diagnosis. The cut-off and weight of each variable included in the score were set empirically, and a CPIS of >6 had a sensitivity of 0.93 for detecting VAP. However, the diagnostic accuracy of the CPIS has been successively challenged 27, 28. In a multicentre study, Luna et al. 8 studied the performance of serial CPIS measurements during VAP resolution. Time-dependent analysis showed that the CPIS of survivors was significantly lower at days 3 and 5 in comparison with nonsurvivors, but at day 7, no significant difference was found. Individual analysis of the CPIS components showed that only Pa,O2/FI,O2 progression was significantly different at days 3 and 5, but not at the end of the first week of therapy.
The value of CRP level changes over time has not yet been systematically investigated in critically ill patients. However, in several papers, the authors systematically recognised that decreases in CRP levels precede clinical improvement, whereas, conversely, failure of CRP levels to fall suggests infectious complication or ineffective/inappropriate treatment 12, 13, 2931. To the present authors' knowledge, there are only two studies evaluating the role of serial CRP determinations in monitoring response to therapy in critically ill patients. The first showed that a decrease in CRP levels by Serial measurements of CRP, body temperature and WCC were performed in VAP patients from the day of antibiotic prescription, D0, to the day of death or the end of antibiotic therapy, dividing patients into survivors and nonsurvivors. It is important to realise that daily CRP measurements were performed not to predict outcome but to describe clinical course. From D0 to D7, CRP ratio showed a significant and steady decrease in survivors, whereas, in nonsurvivors, it remained elevated. In survivors, by D4, CRP ratio had decreased by almost 0.4. Comparisons of ROC curves showed that the prognostic performance of CRP ratio by D4 was significantly better than that of body temperature and WCC. These results could be explained, at least in part, by the influence of noninfectious factors on body temperature and WCC 33. A CRP ratio by D4 of >0.6 was associated with the diagnosis of nonresolving VAP. Additionally, multivariable logistic regression analysis showed that, among the variables studied, only CRP ratio by D4 was significantly and independently associated with outcome. The finding that serial measurements of both body temperature and WCC were poor predictors of VAP resolution has already been shown by Luna et al. 8. The evaluation of changes in clinical variables, such as SOFA score and Pa,O2/FI,O2, over time may be helpful in the assessment of the effect of different therapeutic interventions 31. In the present study, it was not possible to reproduce the findings of Luna et al. 8, as the time-dependent analysis of Pa,O2/FI,O2 from D0 to D7 did not discriminate between survivors and nonsurvivors. Conversely, a significant and steady decrease in SOFA score from D0 to D7 was found in survivors, whereas, in nonsurvivors, a progressive increase was observed. In this context, the correlation of CRP ratio with organ failure suggests that a decrease in CRP concentration, indicating resolution of the inflammatory process, was associated with a better outcome, whereas persistently elevated or increasing CRP levels, denoting ongoing inflammation, carried a poor prognosis. Correlation of the CRP ratio patterns of response to antibiotics and outcome was also performed. It was found that the patterns of CRP ratio response were closely correlated with outcome. All patients with fast and slow response patterns survived, whereas the combined mortality rate of the patients showing the nonresponse and biphasic response patterns was 76.5%. The analysis was carried further in that the relation between CRP ratio patterns of response and the SOFA score was studied. Patients with a fast response pattern showed less severe VAP than those with a slow response, but the rate of organ failure improvement after antibiotic prescription was parallel. In contrast, patients showing nonresponse and biphasic response patterns exhibited more severe VAP, and their SOFA score remained unchanged or increased even further over time. Finally, it was shown that the individual pattern of CRP ratio response to antibiotics was not influenced by the reason for mechanical ventilation, the presence of ARDS at the time of VAP diagnosis or the presence of previous infection. Therefore, the individual pattern of CRP ratio response to antibiotics appeared to be a reflection of VAP clinical course independent of other possible confounders. The impact of initially adequate antibiotic therapy on mortality has been demonstrated by several studies 8, 15, 16, 24. In the present group of VAP patients, those with initially adequate antibiotic therapy exhibited a better outcome than did those with initially inadequate therapy. At D4, the CRP ratio of patients with adequate therapy showed a marked decrease, whereas, in patients with inadequate therapy, the CRP ratio remained elevated. The adequacy of the initial antibiotic therapy also had a marked influence on the CRP ratio patterns of response. Some limitations of the present investigation should be noted. First, this was a cohort single-centre observational pilot study using variables collected daily at the bedside to evaluate VAP clinical course. The present study deals with a frequently asked question in the management of VAP patients after prescription of antibiotics, either improving or deteriorating, which, as yet, has not been fully addressed in the literature. As a result, the present results could not be compared with any other previously published study. Secondly, the distribution of the present VAP patients between early and late onset was somewhat unbalanced. Hence, some agents frequently isolated from early onset episodes, such as Streptococcus pneumoniae, were absent from among the microorganisms isolated from the present patients. Thirdly, a mixed group of medical and surgical VAP patients was examined. It is possible that other types of patient (e.g. solid organ transplant recipients, febrile neutropenics and those undergoing allogeneic stem cell transplantation), as well as infection (e.g. bloodstream infections and viral infections), may show different CRP concentration time courses. Finally, some possible CRP level confounders, such as acute myocardial infarction, were not systematically monitored. Although, myocardial necrosis and myocardial ischaemia are well-known stimuli for CRP production 34, its magnitude is not equivalent to that of the infection-mediated CRP response, in particular of bacterial origin 12, 34, 35. Thus, the impact of unsuspected cardiovascular events in the present study would be negligible. From the present study, it is concluded that daily C-reactive protein concentration measurement after prescription of antibiotic therapy is useful in the identification, as early as day 4, of ventilator-associated pneumonia patients with poor outcome, and performs better than the commonly used markers of infection, such as body temperature and white cell count. In addition, recognition of the pattern of C-reactive protein ratio response to therapy provides more information about individual clinical course, improving or worsening, as well as rate of improvement. Therefore, the present results suggest that, in ventilator-associated pneumonia patients with rapid C-reactive protein ratio decline, a shorter duration of antibiotic therapy could be equally effective, reducing the risks of emergence of resistant strains and costs. Conversely, in patients showing the patterns of nonresponse and biphasic response, an aggressive diagnostic and therapeutic approach should be attempted in order to prevent further clinical deterioration. If these findings are confirmed, the duration of antibiotic therapy could be individualised to each patient's clinical response.
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